At a Halloween party the other night, one of the other guests said something about how he wanted to start a business but he was so worried about the economy and the world we live in. I looked at him like he had three heads. "What are you talking about?", I said diplomatically. "Everything is great!" Then it was his turn to see my three heads.
But I am not alone. The news, as presented by the Old Media, remains relentlessly negative. While a lot of that is due to their desire to ruin President Bush and the conservatives, much of it is also the old media dictum "if it bleeds, it leads." The cumulative reporting of disaster after disaster after bombing after scandal has an effect on people, but if you look around the world and take just a little step back for perspective, then you see a different picture. Shribman from the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette writes:
So -- and this will surprise you, because it sure shocked me -- happy days are here again.
We're living in an era of tranquility. Peace reigns. Sympathy and trust abounding, if you know what I mean. Look skyward: The moon is in the seventh house, and Jupiter aligns with Mars.
I know this not because I have been taking drugs, or watching a revival of "Hair," but because I just looked through a report from the Liu Institute for Global Affairs at the University of British Columbia. Its conclusion -- that the world is an ever more peaceful place -- is downright startling, coming as it does as we mark the 2,000th American death in Iraq, as the Pentagon is reviving its long-discredited Vietnam practice of releasing enemy body counts, and as there are new stirrings of insurrection in Afghanistan...
Be that as it may, this study, funded in part by the governments of Canada, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and Great Britain, argues that the world is a pretty safe place right now. Armed conflicts are down by more than 40 percent, and the 25 armed secessionist conflicts under way last year represent the lowest number in three decades. International crises are down by more than 70 percent in 20 years; the number of refugees is down by 45 percent in a decade. Even genocides are down by 80 percent. My guess is that your doctor didn't have this kind of report for you the last time you went for your routine annual physical....
Plus it doesn't hurt that there are more than four times as many democracies sprinkled across the globe in 2005 than there were in 1946. Globalization, so reviled on the left, at the very least has created an economic interdependence that depends on stability, the diplomatic and economic greatest victim of any war. And for all the criticism on the right of the United Nations and other international agencies, these organizations almost certainly deserve credit for acting as a brake on conflict....
Of course we still have to worry about ethnic and nationalist resentments that smolder like the Centralia fire; indeed, some of them even predate the Centralia fire, which began in the first year of John F. Kennedy's presidency. We still have to worry about terrorism; our own experience and common sense dictate that.
But maybe in all of that we also have one fewer thing to worry about: the big-time international war. Next month, when you are sitting around the table counting your blessings, add this one. Your ancestors couldn't count it among theirs.
I've been saying this since the Berlin Wall came down, and I see no reason to change my opinion. Everything's great. If you're among the majority who are worried, ask yourself this: Would you feel differently if the price of gas was still $1.99 at the pump, and Katrina, Rita, and Wilma has spun harmlessly into the North Atlantic? If so, don't you think the United States of America can overcome a little heavy weather and one economic stumbling block?
Have a little faith, people. Step back, and smell the coffee.