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Rob Salkowitz

I don't disagree with this, up to a point. One thing that's clear is that Bush's Grand Strategy has been an even more spectacular failure than Clinton's, in that we are in danger of losing two wars and "democratization" in the Islamic world has produced Hammas, Ahmadinijad, a resurgent Taliban, and civil war in Iraq. "Good intentions" don't make up for those results either.

What we might agree on is that, with effective exectuion, these outcomes need not have happened. Afghanistan, which everyone to the right of Noam Chomsky supported almost without qualification, was the least necessary failure. We have 20,000 troops there today - barely enough to secure their own barracks, and now the Senate Majority leader thinks we should invite the Taliban to join the government there. Afghanistan could have been everything Bush hoped to achieve in Iraq, with much greater justification and much lower cost. And again, no Democrat had any problem with that. I hope and expect that any D in the White House under similar circumstances to 9/11 would have done exactly what Bush did in the fall of 2002. So it's not that the strategies are all that different.

The failure of Bush's Grand Strategy isn't because it's too aggressive, over-reliant on military force as a vehicle for expressing US power, or disdainful of international opinion. There's room to disagree on those things: they're just tactics whose goal is shared by D's and R's alike: promoting the security and prosperity of America in the world. What's wrong with Bush's strategy is that the Administration steadfastly refused to understand why it couldn't be achieved. They put their ideology and their unfounded optimism ahead of the basic intelligence and analytical skills that anyone - liberal or conservative - needs to apply to their policies before foisting them on the public. It's the whole arrogant rejection of valid analysis and justified skepticism that's wrong with Bush's Grand Strategy. It's a blueprint for a mansion scribbled on a sheet of wet toilet paper. Really, it's hard to understand why intelligent people continue to defend it.

pedro

Since today is an odd numbered day, I'll reserve my response to Rob for tomorrow. It might be late - I've got a 3:00 PM deadline and no idea how I'm going to make it.
But for now, think about this: What are the alternatives? Mature thinking people choose between actual alternatives, not between wishes. That doesn't mean you never take a long shot, like hoping to reform Arabs, but wishful thinking, like banking on the UN, is not allowed.

pedro

As he often does, TigerHawk said it well regarding our strategy in Iraq:

In occupying Iraq, we presented al Qaeda with an irresistable target. The jihadis bragged they would drive us from Mesopotamia, staking their prestige on ultimate victory against the United States. Fortunately, American soldiers were much harder to kill than they expected, and George W. Bush was more stubborn than most of the world believed possible. Having failed to dislodge the United States directly, al Qaeda turned on Arabs whom it saw as supporting the United States, including particularly Shiites in Iraq and the "apostate regimes" in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan. These attacks and the resulting chaos achieved al Qaeda's objective of eviscerating support for the United States in the Arab world, but this public relations victory came at a huge cost. Arabs now took up arms against al Qaeda in massive numbers, and al Qaeda's popularity also collapsed everywhere it attacked. More than 40 months into the American project in Iraq, there are a great many more Arabs hunting or betraying al Qaeda than there are fighting against the United States. We have lost some friends in this war, but we have created millions of enemies of our enemy. In a counterinsurgency, that is strategic progress. (end TigerHawk comment)


As the President has said over and over again, it will be a long hard war and will take a lot of work. Our enemies are cunning, fanatical, and backed by wealthy nut-jobs who share their sick views. Can Hope triumph over Hate? It could happen, and I hope it does happen, but it won't happen without blood, sweat, toil & tears. We could use all y'all's help in the fight.
And if Hope loses to Hate, then we'll show them what Hate backed by American ingenuity can do. Just ask any Nazi or Imperial Japanese officer, if you can find one.

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November 2008

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Seen at low tide

  • American White Pelican
    Saw 30 in one flock on a weptember evening while fishing
  • Hummingbird
    Finally, my first hummingbirds. Saw them on a fire bush in Crystal Beach, FL. My rental's neighbor's yard is all xeriscaped, which is ugly to me but just fine with the little hummers. At first, I thought they were the biggest hornets I'd ever seen.
  • Flamingo!
    One of these dudes flew right over my house. I couldn't believe it. And please don't tell me it was a roseated spoonbill because it was a frickin' flamingo, dude! Huge and pink and right there above me. I was like so freaking out, you know?
  • Falcon!
    Don't see these guys too often. Wish we did. Bet the morning doves don't.
  • Black Skimmer
    These beauties are getting scarce, but one flew by yesterday at low tide on the hunt for minnows.
  • Dead sea turtle
    cool, but smelly
  • Reddish Egret
    These have been hanging out around the pool quite a bit lately. Must be a new group of adolesent birds -- the youngsters like to hunt where the water is clear, and it takes them a day to figure out there are not now and never will be fish in the swimming pool no matter how clear the water.
  • Sand Piper
  • Brown Pelican
    I saw a flock of about 200 of these at Disappearing Island yesterday, just south of Anclote Island on the west coast of FL. Good to see such a large flock.
  • Wood Pecker
    They've developed a sudden interest in the orange tree, which just went into bloom.
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